EU investigates oil companies over price fixIng


European anti-trust officials have carried out surprise inspections in The Hague, London and Oslo as part of a new investigation into suspected attempts at manipulating benchmark oil pricing by several oil companies, including Hague-based Royal Dutch Shell and Statoil, the government-controlled Norwegian energy company.

In a statement, the European Commission said it “…has concerns that the companies may have colluded in reporting distorted prices to a price reporting agency to manipulate the published prices for a number of oil and biofuel products.

“Furthermore, the Commission has concerns that the companies may have prevented others from participating in the price assessment process, with a view to distorting published prices.”

Oil prices assessed and published by agencies such as McGraw Hill’s Platts, Petroleum Argus and Reed’s ISIS are important references for physical delivery and derivatives markets around the world.

A Shell statement confirmed that its group companies were cooperating with the EC investigation but offered no further comment. Likewise, Statoil said it was cooperating with the inquiry, which it said related to Platts’ price assessment process for crude oil, refined oil products and biofuels.

“Platts confirms that the European Commission has undertaken a review at its premises in London this morning in relation to the Platts price assessment process,” the New York-based company said, adding it was also cooperating fully with European authorities.

If confirmed, the manipulations would be more evidence of the growing turmoil in the world energy market as the United States transforms itself from dependency on imported oil to the world’s largest energy producer, surpassing even Saudi Arabia, and the output of the Middle East, Nigeria and other oil producers begins to be consumed by the developing world.

While it is may come as a surprise to most Americans, who still see the country in thrall to the oil sheikhs, North American oil production is booming. In 2011, the U.S. became a net energy exporter for the first time since 1949.

According to the Maria van der Hoeven, executive director of the International Energy Agency, “North America has set off a supply shock that is sending ripples throughout the world. This is helping to ease a market that was relatively tight for several years.”

Thanks to rising production of shale gas, light tight oil (petroleum extracted from shale or sandstone by fracking) and Canadian oil sands, The IEA predicts North America’s output will increase by nearly 4 million barrels a day by 2018. At that rate, the U.S. will overtake Saudi Arabia by 2020 and be completely energy independent by 2030.

“The shock waves of rising U.S. shale gas, light tight oil and Canadian oil sands production are reaching virtually all recesses of the global oil market,” said the IEA in its latest report.

Will all of this change produce the one change Americans would love to see: lower prices at the pump? Not likely; high oil prices (above $70/barrel) are what make use of the new technologies feasible. However, an energy-secure U.S. could potentially save billions of dollars and thousands of lives by being able to disengage itself from the need to protect its foreign oil resources.

MPGomatic seeks support for new program

Website MPGomatic, devoted to finding and testing fuel-efficient cars, is looking to start a new video series. Entitled “Ain’t Fueling,” the concept focuses on older cars and how to improve their gas mileage through the addition of new components or other means.

MPGomatic founder Daniel Gray notes that while new vehicles are more fuel-efficient, they are also more expensive and more difficult to afford in today’s economy so it’s important for consumers to learn what technologies are available to help them stretch their fuel dollars with their current vehicles.

Gray notes this is especially important with gas prices beginning their annual spring climb.

The project is going to require some funding and Gray has asked for public support. A fund has been set up on Kickstarter with a goal of raising $7,777 dollars by April 5, 2013. Gray notes that failure to meet the goal means the project won’t be funded as the amount sought is what is needed to get the project kicked off. Gray also plans to seek ongoing support.

Oil and Gas: Still no records

The media are back to fear-mongering about “record fuel prices” again and their reports need to be taken with the usual large grain of salt.

There have been some recent price shocks, most notably in California, where a refinery fire has created spot shortages and all-time record prices in some areas. However, as the charts show, the national average price has remained well below record levels all year.

What is interesting to see is the difference in ranges between the price of benchmark West Texas Intermediate Crude on the New York Mercantile Exchange and the retail price of a gallon of gasoline. While oil has remained largely in the middle of the range between the all-time record high and the lowest price since 2005, gasoline prices have remained in the upper range, significantly closer to the record high than the seven-year low.

Unlike the speculator-driven run-up in prices last spring, which were based on incorrect assumptions about the impact of sanctions on Iran and concerns about supply, the increase seen this fall does have some basis in reality. As mentioned, a West Coast refinery fire has led to record level prices in some parts of California and other refinery issues have led to speculation that there would be shortages in other parts of the United States.

As of now, the supply concerns have proved groundless and the economic slowdown in China is reducing demands, leading to a decline in oil prices, which are now closer to their 2012 low than their high for the year, let alone the record established in 2008. Since gasoline prices tend to be slower to come down than they are to go up, drivers probably won’t see significant relief for a few weeks.

One of the big questions consumers ask is why oil prices vary so much. It’s currently popular to blame President Obama or former President George W. Bush, but neither of these men had anything to do with the dramatic rises and falls in prices at the pump. If one wishes to assign blame to a President, then that President has to be Bill Clinton, who signed the Commodity Futures Modernization Act that was passed by both houses of Congress in 2000.

The CFMA was supposed to ensure the United States could maintain a competitive position in the over-the-counter derivative market by deregulating certain exchanges. Unfortunately, the CFMA was so successful, especially with the inclusion of the “Enron Loophole” championed by then-Texas Senator Phil Gramm, that it allowed the Enron debacle, the 2008 financial market meltdown and the run-up in fuel prices seen in the past few years.

A good explanation can be found in Kenneth B. Medlock III’s 2009 paper, “Who Is In The Oil Futures Market And How Has It Changed”, prepared for the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy at Rice University. Medlock explains how the CFMA brought in pure speculators, such as financial institutions, that have taken over the markets and added, by some accounts, as much as $40 to the price of a barrel of crude.

Higher oil prices driving increases at the pump

After dropping to a low of $79.76 per barrel the week of July 2, the lowest weekly closing price since September 24, 2010, oil is on the rise again. With just one day left in the week, oil closed at $92.66 today on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The prices are being driven by reports of lower inventories and renewed concerns about the Middle East as tensions increase amid new Israeli charges of Iranian terrorism. In addition, there are problems transporting oil on the Mississippi River due to the prolonged drought, which is said to be the worst in 50 years. Shippers are having to load less crude per barge because of a significant drop in the water level.

The increases are already showing up at the pump: according to the U.S. Energy Information Agency, the average nationwide retail price for a gallon of unleaded has risen 7.3 cents since hitting a low of $3.291 the week of July 2. AAA’s Fuel Gauge Report shows today’s national average price is $3.437, 5.3 cents higher than the price last week, though still below the price at this time last month and this time last year.

Gas prices keep falling

If a vacation by car is in your summer plans, you’ll find welcome news at the pump: fuel for your trip will likely be cheaper than it was last year. As of Friday, the national average price of a gallon of regular unleaded closed the week at $3.473, down 17.8 cents from this time last year. It’s also down about 1.6 cents from last week, 14.9 cents from last month and 40.4 cents from the 2012 peak of $3.877/gallon. At this time in 2008, gasoline was $4.002/gallon, 52.9 cents higher.

Mid-grade and premium prices are also 15.5 cents lower while diesel has come down 23.4 cents/gallon.

Worst price? E85, which will cost $4.074 to give you the equivalent to a gallon of regular unleaded.

As of Friday’s Fuel Gauge Report from AAA, prices range from $3.02/gallon in South Carolina to $4.33 in Hawaii. In the Continental U.S., California has the highest gas prices at $3.87/gallon. Best average state price for diesel is Missouri at $3.44; Hawaii’s the worst at $4.82. New York has the highest price, $4.08, in the Lower 48.

Crude on the New York Exchange closed at $79.76 Friday, down $4.27 from last week and $30.01 from its 2012 peak at the end of February.

The last time oil closed lower than this was a one-week dip at the end of September 2011. Before that, one must go all the way back to September 2010 to find a lower close.

On June 27, 2008, the year of record prices many predicted would be exceeded this year, oil was $140.21, 76% higher.

Lower gas prices are expected to have a positive impact on light truck sales this month. LMC Automotive is now looking for sales 20 percent higher than last May.